A new telephone poll conducted by Insightrix Research in partnership with CJOB Radio and Global TV shows Judy Wasylycia-Leis currently leads the mayoralty race in Winnipeg.
Fully 38% of decided voters say they would cast their ballot for Judy Wasylycia-Leis, well ahead of Brian Bowman (24%) and Gord Steeves (20%). The remaining mayoralty candidates each earn voter intention percentages in the single digits. Support for Judy Wasylycia-Leis is higher among females and those over the age of 35, while Brian Bowman tends to have greater support among males. However, most telling is that 34% of Winnipeg residents who say they plan to vote in the upcoming civic election are uncertain as to who they will vote for. With this level of undecided voters, results on election day could vary significantly from this relatively early poll in the election campaign, creating a potential three-way race among the front-runners.
The poll also asked Winnipeg residents what they believe is the number one issue facing the city. Resoundingly, addressing infrastructure issues is noted by one half of the city’s residents (49%). Crime and policing, the second most frequently mentioned key issue, are noted by only 8% of residents.
Turning to education, roughly equal proportions believe that Winnipeg residents spend too much in school taxes (37%) or about the right amount (38%). Fully 8% feel residents pay too little in school taxes and 17% are uncertain. When presented with four different issues facing Winnipeg schools, approximately equal proportions of residents believe that the most important items to address are proper focus on reading, writing, and arithmetic (34%) and teachers advancing students to the next grade even though they may not be ready to do so (28%). A total of 14% believe bullying is the most important issue facing schools, while 11% say it is teachers spending too much time with problem kids at the expense of the rest of the class. Another 13% are uncertain.
A total of 799 randomly selected Winnipeg residents participated in the telephone research study between August 20th and September 4th, 2014. The margin of error is equal to +/-3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.