ManitobaWatch Blog

Speak Up Manitoba

Voters in Manitoba divided between Progressive Conservatives and Liberals

A new independent Insightrix Research online poll finds decided voters in Manitoba divided between Progressive Conservatives and Liberals. Approval rates and opinion on who would be the best premier shows the Progressive Conservatives ahead, but many are still undecided.

In an online poll conducted by Insightrix Research, 731 respondents indicated their level of approval of political leaders in Manitoba, and who they believed the best premier would be.

Based on anything respondents have seen, read or heard about the various leaders, Brian Pallister (PC) holds the highest approval rate (44%) followed by liberal Rana Bokhari (36%).

approval rating manitoba polling

When asked who the best premier would be, Pallister once again came in first, with 26% of the online poll votes. Bokhari appears in second place with 16% of the votes, followed closely by current Manitoba premier Greg Sellinger (15%). Undecided voters, however, match Pallister at 26%.

best manitoba premier polling

If a provincial election were held today, poll results show a diminished gap between Progressive Conservatives and Liberals, with Conservatives leading the poll over Liberals by 3 percentage points among both decided voters and among all respondents.

decided voters

Research Details
A total of 731 randomly selected ManitobaWatch Research™ panel members participated in the online research study from December 17th to 22nd, 2015. Results were weighted by age, gender, and region to match the general population of the province. Since the research is conducted online, it is considered to be a non-probability proportion sample and therefore, margins of error are not applicable.

About ManitobaWatch Research™
Insightrix began developing its ManitobaWatch Research™ online market research panel in August 2014, using high-quality techniques including telephone recruitment, online advertisement and referrals from existing panel members. Presently, there are over 4,000 active panel members representing all regions of the province and distributions of the general population. For more information, please visit http://manitobawatch.ca.

End of the Year Donation Program

Hello,

The holiday season is starting and ManitobaWatch will have an initiative to help local charities in Manitoba.

Members of this panel suggested charities to be added to our site and we have included two of your suggestions so far – Manitoba Mutts Dog Rescue and Siloam Mission (other charities suggested are still being contacted).

Insightrix Research, the company that operates and manages ManitobaWatch, will build a charity donation pool for an entire month, starting December 5, 2014. On January 5, 2015 the final amount accumulated will be shared between the two selected ManitobaWatch charities.

We will tie this initiative to panel referrals and new panel membership.

Here is how it’s going to work and how you can help:

From December 5th 2014 to January 5th 2015:

  • For each referral you make * you will receive the regular 30 referral points credited to your account, and Insightrix will donate $1.00 to the ManitobaWatch charity donation pool.
  • AND

  • For each new ManitobaWatch member (whether or not they came from referrals) Insightrix will add another $1.00 to the ManitobaWatch charity donation pool.
  • *Note that people you refer to ManitobaWatch need to register using your unique referral link, or the system will not recognize it as a referral from your account.

    Please refer to the ‘View Charities’ link to view the selected charities and review their home page.

    We wish you all a great holiday season!

    Dead heat in Winnipeg mayoralty race

    A new poll conducted by Insightrix Research in partnership with 680 CJOB and Global TV Winnipeg suggests there has been a recent surge in those intending to vote for Brian Bowman in the upcoming municipal election on Wednesday. Specifically, among decided voters (71% of those who intend to vote), 38% say the plan to cast their ballot in favour of Brian Bowman while the poll suggests that long-time leader throughout the campaign, Judy Wasylycia-leis, will receive 36% of the votes. Robert Falcon Ouellette (14%) and Gord Steeves (9%) trail behind the two front-runners while very few intend to vote for Paula Havixbeck (2%), David Sanders (1%) or Michel Fillion (0.4%) on October 22nd.

    Screen Shot 2014-10-20 at 8.54.50 AM

    Where did the votes change?
    Findings from this poll are in stark contrast to a similar poll conducted by Insightrix Research, 680 CJOB and Global TV in late August and early September where 38% say they were planning to vote for Wasylycia-leis, 24% for Bowman and 20% for Steeves. Since that time, far fewer Winnipeg residents say they plan to vote for Steeves which appears to have largely accounted for Bowman’s rise in the current poll.

    Too close to call
    The poll shows that 29% of those who intend to vote are undecided as to who they will vote for. This combined with the neck and neck performance between Wasylycia-leis and Bowman means that the election is too close to call. As with many elections, the winner will be determined by the candidate that does the best job at getting out the vote on Election Day.

    Research Details
    A total of 802 randomly selected Winnipeg residents were polled by telephone between October 7th and 17th, 2014. Quotas were set by age, gender, and by postal code groupings and data are weighted to match the distribution of the population of Winnipeg. The margin of error is equal to ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

    About Insightrix
    Insightrix Research Inc., established in June 2001, is a full-service Canadian market research company that provides consulting services in study design, questionnaire development, data collection, qualitative services, and data analysis. Insightrix also owns and manages ManitobaWatch™, an online panel that is comprised of Manitoba residents who provide input on local political, social and consumer issues. For more information, please visit http://manitobawatch.ca/.

    For more information, please contact
    Lang McGilp, Senior Research Executive
    Insightrix Research Inc.
    Tel: 306.657.5640 ext. 229
    Cell: 306.290.9599
    Email: lang.mcgilp@insightrix.com

    Judy Wasylycia-Leis currently leads the mayoralty race in Winnipeg

    A new telephone poll conducted by Insightrix Research in partnership with CJOB Radio and Global TV shows Judy Wasylycia-Leis currently leads the mayoralty race in Winnipeg.

    Fully 38% of decided voters say they would cast their ballot for Judy Wasylycia-Leis, well ahead of Brian Bowman (24%) and Gord Steeves (20%). The remaining mayoralty candidates each earn voter intention percentages in the single digits. Support for Judy Wasylycia-Leis is higher among females and those over the age of 35, while Brian Bowman tends to have greater support among males. However, most telling is that 34% of Winnipeg residents who say they plan to vote in the upcoming civic election are uncertain as to who they will vote for. With this level of undecided voters, results on election day could vary significantly from this relatively early poll in the election campaign, creating a potential three-way race among the front-runners.

    The poll also asked Winnipeg residents what they believe is the number one issue facing the city. Resoundingly, addressing infrastructure issues is noted by one half of the city’s residents (49%). Crime and policing, the second most frequently mentioned key issue, are noted by only 8% of residents.

    Turning to education, roughly equal proportions believe that Winnipeg residents spend too much in school taxes (37%) or about the right amount (38%). Fully 8% feel residents pay too little in school taxes and 17% are uncertain. When presented with four different issues facing Winnipeg schools, approximately equal proportions of residents believe that the most important items to address are proper focus on reading, writing, and arithmetic (34%) and teachers advancing students to the next grade even though they may not be ready to do so (28%). A total of 14% believe bullying is the most important issue facing schools, while 11% say it is teachers spending too much time with problem kids at the expense of the rest of the class. Another 13% are uncertain.

    Research Details
    A total of 799 randomly selected Winnipeg residents participated in the telephone research study between August 20th and September 4th, 2014. The margin of error is equal to +/-3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

    Manitobans Favour Changes to Marihuana Laws

    According to a telephone poll conducted by Insightrix for CJOB News and Global News, the majority of Manitoba residents believe that marihuana should either be legalized and taxed or decriminalized. The poll surveyed 800 Manitobans and only 40% of respondents say that the current marihuana laws should remain.

    Insightrix_Marijuana-21

    For more detail on the survey, go to http://www.cjob.com/2014/03/03/26937/

    Federal Tories Lose Ground to Liberals in Winnipeg

    A recent poll conducted by Insightrix Research in collaboration with CJOB News/Global News shows that support for Stephen Harper and the federal Conservative Party is high in Manitoba. However, Justin Trudeau and the Liberals are gaining ground, particularly in Winnipeg. The poll found that 44% of Manitobans support the Conservatives, while support for the Liberals sits at 34%, the NDP at 16%, and the Green Party at 5%.

    While the Conservatives lead support in the province, Trudeau and the Liberals have the most support in Winnipeg with 42% of voters saying they would vote for the Liberal Party. The Conservatives stand at 32% in the city, and the NDP have 20% of voters’ support.

    For more detail on the poll and a detailed graph, please visit http://www.cjob.com/2014/02/11/poll-federal-liberals-draw-big-support-in-manitoba/

    Winnipeg Poll: Judy Wasylycia-Leis Would Win a Mayoral Election

    In collaboration with 680 CJOB News and Global News, Insightrix recently conducted a poll with Winnipeg residents and asked who they would vote for if a mayoral election were held that day. The poll found that 42% of decided voters would support Judy Wasylycia-Leis, 17% would support Gord Steeves, and 12% would support current mayor Sam Katz. Behind the top three are City Councillors Paula Havixbeck (9%), Scott Fielding (6%), and John Orlikow (6%), and Winnipeg lawyer Brian Bowman (6%). In the poll, 59% of respondents stated that they would vote for a mayor who is not currently on City Council.

    Respondents were asked about trust in city hall to manage the city effectively: in total, 67% of respondents expressed very low (27%) or somewhat low (40%) trust. Turning to the Mayor, 35% of respondents strongly disapprove of his performance and 27% somewhat disapprove. Winnipeg residents also provided their views on Mayor Katz’s leadership and 32% believe that he is taking Winnipeg on the right track, while 52% believe that he is guiding the city in the wrong direction.

    To learn more about the poll results and details on levels of satisfaction with city services, please go to http://www.cjob.com/2014/02/10/24208/.

    Manitobans’ Views on Provincial Politics

    In partnership with 680 CJOB News and Global News, Insightrix recently conducted a public opinion poll with 800 Manitoba residents regarding their views on provincial politics. In the poll, respondents were asked who they would vote for if an election were held today: Greg Selinger (NDP); Brian Pallister (Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba); Rana Bokhari (Manitoba Liberal Party); or Alain Landry (Green Party of Manitoba). The poll shows that Premier Greg Selinger and Manitoba’s New Democrats are 25 points behind the Opposition Progressive Conservatives.

    For more details on the poll and to view an infographic, please visit
    http://www.cjob.com/2014/02/07/infographic-exclusive-poll-shows-plunging-support-for-ndp/

    © 2017 ManitobaWatch Blog

    Theme by Anders NorenUp ↑